Some damn good discussion’s been going on at the AE Message Boards about the state of UMBC, getting me more and more excited about the potential of the direction of the program. The next step would be getting their first win against a Division 1 opponent in the month of November for the first time since 2008. Tonight’s their last shot at that until next year.
When the America East sent all of their teams to the Bracket Buster last year, UMBC drew Canisius with the stipulation that the Golden Griffins return to the RAC. At the time, Canisius was on a ten-game losing streak, but was bolstered by Alshwan Hymes scoring 19 points in the first half, and Maryland-native Harold Washington with 16 points overall. This year, they have a new coach, whose son is scoring 17.5 points per game, and return Washington and Hymes, who are scoring 17.8 and 8 points per game respectively.
The Golden Griffins currently are 3-1, with with a win against Boston U and a recent loss to Stony Brook. On paper, these two teams match up near-evenly. The two teams are shooting three’s nearly identical (33%-30%), though the Golden Griffins shoot better from the line. However, the Retrievers have an advantage in rebounding (36-29 rpg) and Canisius’s defense is lacking. The Retrievers need defensive stops out of guards Aaron Morgan and Ryan Cook. The interior defense of UMBC, with the already maligned Brett Roseboro, may have trouble against 6’10″ center Jordan Heath (9.8 ppg), so the guards will have to step up in that category.
Oh, by the way, you’re reading these numbers below correctly.
Average RPI
Canisius 118, UMBC 334.25
RealTime RPI Prediction
UMBC 74, Canisius 68
Team Rankings Predictions
Canisius 70, UMBC 66
Well that was an ugly game. Here’s my recap after witnessing the bloodbath live: http://nycbuckets.com/2012/11/canisius-dominates-umbc-with-their-size-guard-play/
Feel free to share…
Ryan, your article acurately summarizes UBMC’s woes to date. I hope the team plays to thier potential tonight. I watched thier first game against Penn…and the first half of that game UMBC looked like they were going to rout Penn by 40 points. But then something happened…UMBC took thier foot off the throttle, became unfocsed, and were clowning around as if they had already won the game before it was over. The swagger, sharpness, and poise just dissappeared in a blink of an eye. As Penn chipped away at the lead, panic set in for UMBC’s players. All of a sudden, sloppy passing, bad rebounding, and poor shot selections became abundant. The team captains and coaches need to pay close attention as this was a lesson players need understand. It’s called finishing the game. If you are up by 20 with 15 minutes left, continue to play, continue to stay focused, and finish the game. That’s how a winning attitude is developed. Don’t let players clown around until after the final buzzer sounds. Once the players learn how to finish games, they will be in much better shape to compete in conference play. If not, it’s going to be another long, diossapointing season.
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